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Conclusion: DOA is random so nobody can claim to be better than anybody else and also online vs offline is a bullshit topic to begin with, since the game is random and winning or losing is only determined randomly. You can only claim to be a better guesser than your opponent not being more...

Yeah sorry for that. Bad sentence to describe what i meant. But i liked your post since indeed some stuff i wrote came out wrong and im gonna pay more attention to that in the future.

That sentence came out wrong what i wanted to say is that the chance of successful counters decrease as the number of successful counters increase. To show you what i meant: What are the odds of someone successfully countering 3 times in a row in a situation where both players are playing randomly.

Akira has a very slow side walk unlike most of the other characters which makes it impossible for Akira to circle his opponent. People might want to circle you in order to mess up your directional inputs in order to get the first hit but if you play Akira you are not able to do this. However you...

Not going for guaranteed damage is not random it's just a different way of playing. And stun game is not random also, like i said and showed, attacker has advantage in a stun situation and thus far nobody could come up with a intelligent response on why it is random. Also most of the MMA...

Please read carefully before you post something. I know the event is independent from the previous one and i have mentioned that in my post. I just did the calculation for fun just like i said in my post it has no meaning. The post was mainly about the other calculation which are all correct.

Of course you can change your odds by choosing to do different stuff(i mention that in almost all of my post with the phrase "This odds are only valid on random attacks etc"), that is called playing the game and it involves using a strategy, reading your opponent, timing your moves and...

No it wasn't. You are saying in order to get out of a stun you are better off countering low. Yes that is true if you would counter low the odds for you to escape the stun are higher than by doing any other holds. If you would counter high or mid the odds for you to escape the stun are: Since...

Why is this a reply to my post it has nothing to do with what i was saying.

As you can see i'm saying here that if the defender decides to attack that's when the attacker has advantage. However the defender can decide to block in which case the attacker well be able to put further pressure on the defender or simply grab the defender. You can see this for your self in...

Let me correct myself it is not impossible to win just by countering but that would require very good reading however it is almost impossible to win by random countering.

Rikuto discuses throws as a respond to a counter not as a random input. Since the thread is for the most part about random inputs of two players he does not consider throws as a random input together with striking and defending in his 4 point section and thus makes wrong calculations. He does...

I would like you to do this again if possible and record it if possible since i have never seen some one do that and i would be very interested in such a video.

I don't feel insulted in anyway i'm happy DrDogg linked the thread because it made me realize that my statement "An attacker has always 75% of winning the guessing game" was wrong since indeed low counters avoid high attacks and grabs and i forgot to take that in to consideration. Just to make...

I have red the thread thank you for your post. However even tough everything said in that thread is true for a situation in which the opponent would simply stand there and do one of those things that are discussed in the thread and not consider mixing throws with striking, defending, holding...

Every time you are guessing a hold you have 25% chance on guessing right. The probability for guessing right again after the first counter can be calculated with the following formula: y=0.25^x, x being the number of counters and y being the probability of guessing right. As you can see the...

I hope they put more attack in it like zack's optic blast it looks really awesome. I would want Hayabusa to be able to throw shuriken from a distance XD

Sorry but this is no proof of online meaning nothing since what your saying is that an online player who claimed to be better than someone lost to him under crappy online connection and you are using this to prove what exactly? That AP is so much better than lokki because he beat him under...

What i was trying to say here was that you could use the results of an offline tournament and compare them with an online tournament and see how far the results match each other and then use the outcome of this to figure out whether the difference between offline and online really matter that much.

How is this a proof of online meaning nothing? Well i can backup my statement with actual physical evidence and you can't this discussion can be compared very well with the discussion between religious people and scientist. Religious people make a statement and expect you to belief it...